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USD Strength Meets Limits; Tariff Drag Keeps CAD in Check


15.07.2025
USD Strength Meets Limits; Tariff Drag Keeps CAD in Check

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar        1.3560-1.3800

Euro                 1.5840-1.6090

Sterling            1.8270-1.8530

 

WTI Oil (opening level) $66.92

The CAD/USD is opening at 1.3687 ( 0.7306 )

Tariff baggage kept the CAD from taking fuller advantage of a positive employment report Friday. Even if most of the gains were part-time, full-time job gains were still very decent and hours worked ended Q2 on a firm note, a positive signal for growth.

The USD remains marginally overvalued versus which may help constrain near-term USD strength. The CAD’s technical condition is little changed in broad terms. The primary trend remains bearish, but daily trend momentum has softened, spot is probing trend channel resistance at 1.3735/40, and the USD closed out last week on a technically bullish note.

The USD may still have a tough time rallying significantly, however. Bullish weekly signals in June failed to lift the USD materially and the weekly trend strength oscillator remains bearish. Resistance in the mid-1.37s looks solid, and firmer still at 1.38. Support is 1.3650 and 1.3530/60.

 



Comment (1)
02.10.2025 - 9:27 PM Carmen Jill Parker:

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