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CAD Weakens, USD Rebounds Above 1.37 Amid Market Shift


17.07.2025
CAD Weakens, USD Rebounds Above 1.37 Amid Market Shift

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar        1.3640-1.3880

Euro                 1.5810-1.6060

Sterling            1.8320-1.8570

 

WTI Oil (opening level) $66.69

The CAD/USD is opening at 1.3766 ( 0.7264 )

CAD is weaker and has moved above yesterday's intraday low versus the USD in generally featureless trade

Risk appetite has strengthened in overnight markets and spreads are maintaining the narrowing trend that has taken the USD’s yield advantage at the 2Y sector of the curve back to its lowest since December (near 110bps), which is helping the fair value estimate for spot hold near 1.36 (1.3592 currently). The USD’s drift away from its equilibrium estimate persists, however, on the back of its broader recovery from yesterday’s sell-off.

A rebound from yesterday’s USD sell-off has extended USD gains to a marginal new, short-term high just above 1.3760. USD momentum is not particularly strong but nor is the USD rebound especially stretched.

Spot is pressuring 50-day MA resistance (1.3738), which held on a daily close basis yesterday but a clearer push above 1.3750 will suggest a quick retest of the June high at 1.38.

Support is 1.3650/75.

 



Comment (1)
02.10.2025 - 9:28 PM Carmen Jill Parker:

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