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Federal Reserve decided to keep the interest rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50%


01.11.2023
Federal Reserve decided to keep the interest rate unchanged at 5.25-5.50%

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar        1.3850-1.3950

Euro                1.4600-1.4700

Sterling           1.6800-1.6900

 

WTI Oil (opening level) $82.67

 

The US Dollar index is marginally stronger this morning as poor economic data out of Europe and further weakness in the Japanese Yen have helped to push the Greenback higher. The Euro traded a bit weaker as that region's inflation data came in a little weaker than expected yesterday and in Japan the Central Bank has no polices at the moment to support the Yen as they continue to push for lower interest rates.

The Canadian Dollar gave up a lot of strength yesterday as the GDP growth rate was flat once again, clearly the Canadian economy for all intensive purposes in in recession and there are no early signs that it will improve over the short-term. USD.CAD opens the day near the 1.3875 (0.7207) level and I just don't see any scenario where it will have sustained strength over the coming weeks. US Dollar buyers still need to look to buy on any dips in the rate.

Today of course is the latest Federal Reserve interest rate announcement and the market is almost certain that they will not change the interest rate today. Markets will be closely watching what Fed Chair Powell say's at his press conference but my guess is that he will leave the option of another interest rate hike in December on the table if inflation stages a rebound over the next month, a scenario which would push the US Dollar higher throughout the day.



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13.07.2023

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar         1.3100-1.3200

Euro                 1.4650-1.4750

Sterling            1.7150-1.7250

26.10.2022

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar             1.3500-1.3600

Euro                     1.3500-1.3600

Sterling                1.5650-1.5750

02.12.2024

Today's expected range for the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies:

US Dollar        1.3940-1.4150

Euro                 1.4660-1.4880

Sterling            1.7720-1.7920